Pocono 400 NASCAR Series
Pocono 400: Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series & NASCAR Xfinity Series
When: June 1-3, 2018 (Friday – Sunday)
Venue: Pocono Raceway
Where: Long Pond, Pennsylvania, United States
TV: Click Here To Watch
2017 Winner: Ryan Blaney
Pocono 400: One of the unique demanding situations with NASCAR is that every song is one-of-a-kind. Not handiest does this suggest that positive drivers will perform better in one vicinity than some other, but each song could have different scoring inclinations than the previous one. That approach we need to alter our strategies pretty considerably.
Each week right here on numberFire, we are going to dig into the track this is website hosting the imminent weekend’s race to look what all we need to realize when we are setting our lineups. We’ll have a separate piece that appears at drivers who’ve excelled there within the past; right here, we simply want to recognize approximately the track itself. Once qualifying has been finished, we’re going to actually have a primer detailing which drivers in shape this strategy and must be in your lineup for that week.
This week, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series is heading to Pennsylvania for the Pocono 400. It’s a protracted, triangular song with a purpose to present a few specific challenges for DFS. Let’s take a look at what techniques we should deploy.
Pocono is weird as hell. There is no other way to place it.
Whereas most tracks on the timetable are ovals, Pocono is a triangle with three specific turns, each being modeled after a turn at some other music. That’s the first thing that differentiates it.
The difference is that the tune is simply big. At 2.5 miles long, it’s miles tied for the second one-longest music at the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series timetable, trailing best Talladega and tied with Daytona and Indianapolis. One of the turns is likewise modeled after Indianapolis, and Indy will be the most similar tune to Pocono at the circuit.
Because it’s a 2.5-mile tune, and the race is simply four hundred miles, there are handiest 160 laps in the race. That leaves us with a mere sixteen factors to be had for laps led on FanDuel, which places a dent in the upside a driver can attain.
Normally, this will lead us to target location-differential points for our lineups. But those are tough to return by using, too.
One of the downsides of Pocono’s specific configuration is that its miles outstanding hard to skip. Over the past 4 races at Pocono, only two drivers have logged top-5 finishes after beginning outside the top 17. Both of those came in a rain-shortened 2016 race that noticed Chris Buescher win from 22nd and Regan Smith end third from the thirtieth way to strategy. Only an additional motive force has gotten even a top-10 end on this four-race pattern after beginning out of doors the pinnacle 17.
So, we cannot anticipate a ton of laps led, and locating vicinity-differential factors is hard. What, precisely, can we do strategically for this race? Let’s look at a few beyond scoring trends to discover.
Past Scoring Trends
The first issue you’ll observe right here is that scoring tends to be plenty lower in Pocono than it’s far at other races because of the lack of laps and area-differential upside. That does depend for DFS.
Over the beyond 4 races, the best point total scored in a race become Buescher in 2016 whilst he scored 68.5 points with that win from the twenty-second starting role. There have been simply 8 total instances (kind of two consistent with race) in which a driving force has scored more than 60 points.
Essentially, which means that scoring might be a piece flatter than it’s miles maximum other locations. The hole between Buescher’s pinnacle rating and the twentieth-maximum score in our pattern is just 14.Nine points.
This indicates that a greater balanced approach for your rosters is going to be the correct method. Not best is it difficult to discover value drivers who will rack up huge ratings (barring another rainout), however, the gap between the studs and the center tier may be smaller than standard. So a balanced lineup appears to be top-rated to a stars-and-scrubs method.
Something that may help similarly this point is visualizing FanDuel factor totals by means of beginning role over the last 4 races at Pocono.
Outside of floating dots on the pinnacle — the aforementioned Buescher and Smith — no driving force beginning decrease than fifteenth has crowned the 60-factor barrier here. So unless things get wonky, you’re not locating high-quality drivers inside the lower back of the sector.
The one exception right here maybe if we’ve got a situation just like what took place to Kevin Harvick remaining week at Charlotte. If a high-quality car fails to get via inspection and must start on them again (or just has an abnormally negative qualifying run), then that automobile can be capable of the motor upon thru the P.C. In that instance, you will probably want that driver on your roster because they will have better upside than the others. We want location-differential points right here whilst we will locate them. But you have to make sure that car is rapid by using searching at practice speeds, in any other case they will warfare to work their manner forward.
So, if we cannot locate high-upside cars at the back of the percent (out of doors of those exceptions), which starting positions should we be concentrated on, exactly?
In our 4-race pattern, there had been 33 drivers who have scored at least 50 factors in a race. Here are the starting stages for the ones 33 drivers.
Of these 33 drivers, 25 have started out in the pinnacle 15 positions. At restrictor plate tracks, we’re going to regularly “stack the back” and cargo upon drivers with negative beginning positions. We’re in large part doing the opposite in Pocono.
It is noteworthy, but, that there have been drivers starting twenty-first through 25th who have been capable of have decent days. This is likely across the variety where we’ll want to discover our cheapest driving force. If a driver you want finishes up sitting in this range, you could sincerely supply them a yank, hoping they will come up with at the least a few region-differential factors together with an amazing end.
If you do determine to pay down with one in each of your drivers, make certain they may be in equipment a good way to allow them to post a first-rate end. Ty Dillon scored forty six.4 factors here final summer season by means of starting 30th and finishing 17th, and Buescher scored 43 points last spring by shifting from twenty-ninth to nineteenth. If there is a driving force starting round 30th who you accept as true with has the ability to post a top-20 end, they could let you deviate from the balanced method.
Kasey Kahne is starting clean this season.
After six years with 4-vehicle powerhouse Hendrick Motorsports, the 38-year-antique from Enumclaw, Washington, is riding for the unmarried-vehicle crew of Leavine Family Racing.
In 13 races within the No. 95 Chevrolet, Kahne’s pleasant finish is seventeenth at Texas, Talladega and Dover. He became twentieth Sunday night inside the Coca-Cola six hundred at Charlotte. He ranks twenty-sixth inside the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series standings.
While the numbers might not display it, Kahne said the team is making development.
“I in reality revel in the institution,” Kahne stated. “I assume our consequences best get higher from here. I desire we had more outcomes at this point of the season. We’re attempting tough as a collection to do that. I feel we genuinely can.”
Kahne seems to continue that development this weekend at Pocono Raceway in the Pocono four hundred.
During his time at Hendrick Motorsports, Kahne won six of his 18 career Cup races, but never quite lived up to expectancies.
Although he’s with a smaller group, Kahne stated the pressure to perform isn’t any smaller. He nonetheless pushes as difficult as he can and offers it the whole lot he has to get consequences.
After 15 years inside the Cup Series, Kahne nevertheless enjoys the competitiveness.
“When you’re twentieth, you need to be within the top 15. When you’re 5th, you need to win,” he said. “You’re constantly trying to enhance. I love working hard at looking to get higher, regardless of in which you’re at.”
Pocono is a place where Kahne has been higher.
He recollects his first time at the 2.5-mile triangular track in Long Pond. It became in 2004 all through a test session with Bill Elliott.
“He was down inside the corners and sort of watching, working with me that day,” Kahne stated. “It turned into tough, this kind of specific region. But I had a number of an assist from him and ever for the reason that we’ve been very good at Pocono.”
His first race at Pocono, in June 2004, Kahne sat at the pole. He began on the pole once more and gained in June 2008. He additionally gained there in August 2013 and has five top-5 and nine pinnacle-10 finishes in 28 careers begin.
Kahne also ran in the first NASCAR Camping World Truck Series race at Pocono in 2010 and completed 2d.
“It’s a track I recognize. I know the sort of experience it needs, I recognize the corners to work on,” Kahne said. “When you win at a track pair instance, you type of parent that stuff out.
“You work hard to get that sense all through exercise. It’s a tough tune — the way the corners are and the long straightaways after the corners. So an awful lot pace may be gained or lost.”
Kahne enjoys racing in Pennsylvania, whether in a Cup vehicle or a dash automobile, which he did start in 1999 before his NASCAR profession.
He back to his dirt music roots inside the country while he competed at Williams Grove and Lincoln Speedways during an off-weekend in March.
“I’ve achieved a whole lot of racing there over time and have a ton of fanatics up that manner,” Kahne stated. “It’s usually cool to head there and race.”
The Pocono four hundred race weekend starts Friday with Cup Series practice and qualifying, Xfinity Series exercise and the ARCA Series General Tire #AnywhereIsPossible two hundred. Saturday capabilities very last Cup Series practice and the Xfinity Series Pocono Green 250.
On Sunday, the Pocono 400 is scheduled to get the inexperienced flag at 2 p.m.
Friday, June 1
11:35 a.m.-12:25 p.m.: Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series practice
1:05-1:55 p.m.: NASCAR Xfinity Series practice
3:05-3:55 p.m.: NASCAR Xfinity Series final practice
4:15 p.m.: Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Busch Pole Qualifying
5:15 p.m.: Post-Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series qualifying
Saturday, June 2
9:35 a.m.: NASCAR Xfinity Series qualifying
11:30 a.m.-12:20 p.m.: Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series final practice
1 p.m.: NASCAR Xfinity Series Pocono Green 250 Recycled by J.P. Mascaro & Sons (100 laps, 250 miles)
3:15 p.m.: Post-NASCAR Xfinity Series race
Sunday, June 3
2 p.m.: Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Pocono 400 (160 laps, 400 miles)
5:15 p.m.: Post-Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race